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#1 2008-07-23 16:07:31

Howard Y
Administrator
Registered: 2008-06-19
Posts: 23

Today's Runners

Just for my own research purposes, I'm going to be listing the top picked horse every weekday. I'll edit in the result when it comes in. Maybe after a week or so we'll see some interesting results!

5 FP backers, Star of Germany, running today, 16.40 at Worcester
RESULT: 3rd @ 8-1



Last edited by HOward Yeend (again!) (2008-07-28 21:25:22)


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#2 2008-07-24 09:37:32

Howard Y
Administrator
Registered: 2008-06-19
Posts: 23

Re: Today's Runners

today we have a three-way tie for most backed runner, here they are:

3 backers: Detonator

RESULT: 2nd @ 11-8
my guess: win or place

3 backers: King of Rome
RESULT: 1st @ 5-4
my guess: it'll be a close one.

3 backers: Qalahari
RESULT: 1st @ 8-13....
my guess: will place will win
EDIT: haha, just looked at who it's running against. it's a foregone conclusion really.


My guesses are probably worthless; I'm simply going by a quick look over the past form (follow the links).

Last edited by HOward Yeend (again!) (2008-07-28 21:27:01)


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#3 2008-07-25 10:41:45

Howard Y
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Registered: 2008-06-19
Posts: 23

Re: Today's Runners

4 out of 4 have won or placed so far!

today, 5 people have chosen Makaaseb
let's see how she does at york tonight. I'm not convinced, but we'll see.
RESULT: 3rd @ 8-1

That makes it 5/5

Last edited by HOward Yeend (again!) (2008-07-28 21:24:43)


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#4 2008-07-28 09:32:43

Howard Y
Administrator
Registered: 2008-06-19
Posts: 23

Re: Today's Runners

Today's FP favourite is Linda Green with 3 FP backers - let's see if this one breaks the winning streak.
RESULT: 1st at 12-1.

Things are starting to look interesting...

Last edited by HOward Yeend (again!) (2008-07-28 21:23:41)


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#5 2008-07-29 09:13:57

Howard Y
Administrator
Registered: 2008-06-19
Posts: 23

Re: Today's Runners

today's FP favourite is Conduit with a whopping 21 backers (ladbrokes were giving 4-6 eariler, now it's 8-13). Should be a sure thing with 87% of GG.com's tipzone tipsters supporting it too.
RESULT: 1st @ 1-2

There's also strong support for Infallible with 13 backers (9-1 now 7-1), so we'll see how that one does as well.
RESULT: 5th @ 5-4


that means 7 out of 7 "most backed" horses have won or placed so far, and 7/8 of the "highly backed" horses have won or placed (i.e. if we include infallible, who came 5th but wasn't the most backed).

(granted, the majority of the "most backed" horses are favourites, as you'd expect, but the occasional gem like yesterday's Linda Green make the stats worth listening to)

Last edited by HOward Yeend (again!) (2008-07-29 09:14:23)


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#6 2008-07-30 09:21:46

Howard Y
Administrator
Registered: 2008-06-19
Posts: 23

Re: Today's Runners

No suprise, henrythenavigator is today's most backed, appearing in 39 stables
RESULT 1st @ 4-11

And 13 players are rooting for raven's pass.
RESULT: 2nd @ 4-1


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#7 2008-07-31 09:13:24

Howard Y
Administrator
Registered: 2008-06-19
Posts: 23

Re: Today's Runners

Well, today's most backed is Yeats. Which again is not a big surprise, with its last seven runs bagging 1st place(!)
RESULT: 1st @ 8-15

Second most backed is Mad Rush, who also has a good form record.
RESULT: NR



9 out of 9 most backed have won or placed, with 5 coming first.

8 out of 10 highly backed (most backed and some of the second-most backed) have won or placed.

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#8 2008-08-01 09:31:28

Howard Y
Administrator
Registered: 2008-06-19
Posts: 23

Re: Today's Runners

John Keats is today's most backed
RESULT: 4th @ 9-2

That's the first out of 10 most backed that hasn't at least placed.


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#9 2008-08-04 10:00:35

Howard Y
Administrator
Registered: 2008-06-19
Posts: 23

Re: Today's Runners

Let's hope Ursus restores our winning streak today! 6 backers.
RESULT: 8th @ 8-1. Oh no!

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#10 2008-08-05 09:26:42

Howard Y
Administrator
Registered: 2008-06-19
Posts: 23

Re: Today's Runners

Today it's Lethal with 3 backers - let's hope it doesn't do fatal damage to our stats when it runs later today.
RESULT: 4th @ 7-1

Also with 3 backers is Lucayan Dancer, so lets see what happens at Catterick.
RESULT: 1st @ 9-4

Hm, would have been nice to see Lethal at least place, but Lucayan Dancer made the stats look prettier; 10 out of the 13 most backed have won or placed, giving the fantasy punter players a collective strike rate of 77% - not too shabby at all!


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#11 2008-08-06 15:27:40

Howard Y
Administrator
Registered: 2008-06-19
Posts: 23

Re: Today's Runners

Today it's Boz with 4 backers, lets see what happens in half an hour smile
RESULT: 14th - youch!

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#12 2008-08-08 15:34:45

Howard Y
Administrator
Registered: 2008-06-19
Posts: 23

Re: Today's Runners

Today Charles Darwin enjoys 3 backers
RESULT: 9th @ 20-1

So too does Harrison's Flyer, :
RESULT: 4th @ 4-1

and also Psalm
RESULT: NR

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